Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 69.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 11.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
