SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheshunt win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheshunt win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheshunt | Draw | Welling United |
44.74% ( 0.4) | 25.07% ( 0.21) | 30.19% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 55.54% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.31% ( -1.18) | 47.69% ( 1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.11% ( -1.1) | 69.88% ( 1.1) |
| Cheshunt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.66% ( -0.31) | 21.34% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.7% ( -0.48) | 54.29% ( 0.48) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.6% ( -1) | 29.4% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.61% ( -1.24) | 65.39% ( 1.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheshunt | Draw | Welling United |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.52% Total : 44.74% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.47% Total : 30.19% |
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