SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dover Athletic win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Cheshunt had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dover Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Cheshunt win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheshunt | Draw | Dover Athletic |
34.01% ( 0.07) | 24.46% ( -0) | 41.52% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 59.21% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.43% ( 0.03) | 43.57% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.03% ( 0.03) | 65.96% ( -0.03) |
| Cheshunt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.03% ( 0.06) | 24.97% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.38% ( 0.08) | 59.61% ( -0.08) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.92% ( -0.02) | 21.07% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.11% ( -0.03) | 53.89% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheshunt | Draw | Dover Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 34.01% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.69% Total : 41.52% |
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