SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 56.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Dulwich Hamlet had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Dulwich Hamlet win it was 2-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dulwich Hamlet | Draw | St Albans City |
21.72% ( 0.13) | 22.17% ( -0.19) | 56.11% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.05% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.1% ( 1.02) | 41.9% ( -1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.7% ( 1.02) | 64.3% ( -1.01) |
| Dulwich Hamlet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.96% ( 0.69) | 33.04% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.37% ( 0.76) | 69.63% ( -0.76) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.21% ( 0.37) | 14.79% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.95% ( 0.7) | 43.05% ( -0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dulwich Hamlet | Draw | St Albans City |
| 2-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 3% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 21.72% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.17% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 6.3% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 5.69% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 3.01% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.07)1-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.91% Total : 56.11% |
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