SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Albans City | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
30.11% ( 0.07) | 25.18% ( -0.02) | 44.72% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.15% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.83% ( 0.1) | 48.18% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.67% ( 0.09) | 70.34% ( -0.08) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.3% ( 0.1) | 29.7% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.25% ( 0.11) | 65.76% ( -0.11) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.45% ( 0.02) | 21.55% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.38% ( 0.03) | 54.63% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Albans City | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 1-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 30.11% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.45% Total : 44.72% |
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