SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.18%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Worthing win was 2-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | St Albans City |
30.96% ( -0.05) | 22.99% ( -0.01) | 46.04% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 63.27% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.28% ( 0) | 37.72% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.04% ( 0) | 59.96% ( -0) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.04% ( -0.03) | 23.96% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.81% ( -0.04) | 58.19% ( 0.04) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.2% ( 0.02) | 16.79% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.24% ( 0.04) | 46.75% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | St Albans City |
| 2-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.96% | 1-1 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 6.54% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.02% 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.89% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.43% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.74% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.31% Total : 46.04% |
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