SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 21.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Hungerford Town win it was 1-0 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hungerford Town | Draw | St Albans City |
21.18% ( -2.42) | 23.19% ( -0.71) | 55.63% ( 3.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.89% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.95% ( 0.35) | 47.05% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.71% ( 0.32) | 69.3% ( -0.32) |
| Hungerford Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.53% ( -2.08) | 36.47% ( 2.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.75% ( -2.15) | 73.26% ( 2.16) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.25% ( 1.27) | 16.75% ( -1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.32% ( 2.22) | 46.68% ( -2.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hungerford Town | Draw | St Albans City |
| 1-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 5.55% ( -0.5)2-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.42)3-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.29)3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.21)Other @ 1.77% Total : 21.18% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.32) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.22)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.19% | 0-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.65)1-3 @ 5.86% ( 0.31)0-3 @ 5.81% ( 0.61)2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.62% ( 0.24)0-4 @ 2.59% ( 0.37)2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.12)0-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.12% Total : 55.63% |
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