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National League South | Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
3 - 0
Cheshunt

Edser (7'), Cundle (54'), O'Neill (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Cheshunt.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braintree 3-2 Ebbsfleet
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-0 Cheshunt
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 79.44%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Cheshunt had a probability of 7.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.96%), while for a Cheshunt win it was 1-2 (2.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawCheshunt
79.44% (0.042999999999992 0.04) 12.93% (-0.019 -0.02) 7.63% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.46% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.22% (0.016000000000005 0.02)29.77% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.08% (0.019999999999996 0.02)50.92% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.14% (0.010000000000005 0.01)5.86% (-0.011900000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.52% (0.032000000000011 0.03)22.48% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Cheshunt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.66% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)45.33% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.8% (-0.035 -0.04)81.2% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 79.44%
    Cheshunt 7.63%
    Draw 12.93%
EbbsfleetDrawCheshunt
2-0 @ 10.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 7.17% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 5.67% (0.0040000000000004 0)
5-0 @ 4.07% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 3.22% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
6-0 @ 1.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
6-1 @ 1.52% (0.002 0)
5-2 @ 1.27% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 79.44%
1-1 @ 5.96% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 12.93%
1-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 2.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 7.63%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Braintree 3-2 Ebbsfleet
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-0 Oxford City
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, March 25 at 12.30pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-2 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-0 Cheshunt
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 1-0 Weymouth
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-1 Cheshunt
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 1-0 Cheshunt
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 2-1 Cheshunt
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 0-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South


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