SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Tonbridge Angels win it was 1-0 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
19.99% ( 0.09) | 22.46% ( 0.08) | 57.55% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.42% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.55% ( -0.2) | 45.45% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.22% ( -0.19) | 67.78% ( 0.19) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.24% ( -0.02) | 36.76% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.45% ( -0.02) | 73.55% ( 0.02) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.47% ( -0.13) | 15.53% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.55% ( -0.23) | 44.45% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 1-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.86% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 1.78% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 19.99% | 1-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.46% | 0-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.91% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.9% 1-3 @ 6.15% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 6.15% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 57.55% |
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