Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 62.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Cheshunt had a probability of 17.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Cheshunt win it was 1-2 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford City | Draw | Cheshunt |
62.25% ( 2.53) | 20.16% ( -0.91) | 17.59% ( -1.62) |
Both teams to score 56.88% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.24% ( 1.56) | 38.76% ( -1.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.93% ( 1.62) | 61.07% ( -1.62) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.05% ( 1.2) | 11.94% ( -1.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.68% ( 2.5) | 37.32% ( -2.5) |
Cheshunt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.59% ( -0.83) | 35.41% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.83% ( -0.87) | 72.17% ( 0.87) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford City | Draw | Cheshunt |
2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.43) 4-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.32) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.38) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 1.59% ( 0.2) 5-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.22) Other @ 4% Total : 62.25% | 1-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.47) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.32) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.16% | 1-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.36) 0-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.44) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.62% Total : 17.59% |
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