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National League South | Gameweek 15
Feb 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Park View Road, Welling
EU

Welling United
4 - 3
Ebbsfleet

Durojaiye (9'), Akinyemi (37', 49' pen.), Campbell (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Taylor (25'), Poleon (59'), Wood (78')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Ebbsfleet.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Welling UnitedDrawEbbsfleet
26.76%25.29%47.94%
Both teams to score 52.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.41%50.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.5%72.5%
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.55%33.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.92%70.07%
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.88%21.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.04%53.96%
Score Analysis
    Welling United 26.76%
    Ebbsfleet 47.94%
    Draw 25.28%
Welling UnitedDrawEbbsfleet
1-0 @ 7.74%
2-1 @ 6.59%
2-0 @ 4.24%
3-1 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 1.87%
3-0 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 26.76%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 7.06%
2-2 @ 5.12%
3-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 10.98%
1-2 @ 9.35%
0-2 @ 8.54%
1-3 @ 4.85%
0-3 @ 4.43%
2-3 @ 2.66%
1-4 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.72%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 47.94%

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