Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
