SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
| 45.86% | 25.23% | 28.91% |
| Both teams to score 54.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.92% | 71.08% |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.62% | 21.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.64% | 54.36% |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.03% | 30.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.73% | 67.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
| 1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.24% 2-0 @ 7.88% 3-1 @ 4.75% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.47% Total : 45.85% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 7.76% 1-2 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.96% Total : 28.91% |
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