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National League South | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Rushmoor Stadium

Farnborough Town
3 - 0
Weston

Pavey (19'), Cullen (59'), Morton (63' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mannings (68')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and Weston-super-Mare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dartford 1-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 0-3 Slough
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.

Result
Farnborough TownDrawWeston-super-Mare
46.18% (-0.124 -0.12) 24.94% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 28.88% (0.161 0.16)
Both teams to score 55.19% (0.227 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (0.247 0.25)47.79% (-0.245 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02% (0.229 0.23)69.98% (-0.224 -0.22)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (0.048000000000002 0.05)20.74% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.63% (0.073 0.07)53.37% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.63% (0.247 0.25)30.37% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43% (0.291 0.29)66.57% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Farnborough Town 46.18%
    Weston-super-Mare 28.88%
    Draw 24.93%
Farnborough TownDrawWeston-super-Mare
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.92% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 46.18%
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.04% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.47% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 28.88%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dartford 1-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 2-1 Hemel Hempstead
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 1-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-0 Farnborough Town
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-0 Farnborough Town
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 0-3 Slough
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-6 Weston
Tuesday, August 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Weston
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 1-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 0-2 Wrexham
Sunday, November 11 at 12.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Weston 0-6 Barnsley
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Pre-Season Friendlies


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