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National League South | Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Paddy Power Park

Farnborough Town
2 - 1
Hemel Hempstead

Pavey (25'), Cullen (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Krasniqi (45')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farnborough Town 1-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 22.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.

Result
Farnborough TownDrawHemel Hempstead Town
52.83% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 24.75% (-0.106 -0.11) 22.42% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 49.77% (0.396 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.99% (0.479 0.48)52.01% (-0.485 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.25% (0.411 0.41)73.75% (-0.417 -0.42)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.34% (0.196 0.2)19.65% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.37% (0.321 0.32)51.63% (-0.32700000000001 -0.33)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.95% (0.34 0.34)38.05% (-0.344 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.18% (0.327 0.33)74.81% (-0.333 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Farnborough Town 52.83%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 22.42%
    Draw 24.74%
Farnborough TownDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 12.16% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 9.9% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.046 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 52.83%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.48% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 24.74%
0-1 @ 7.23% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-2 @ 5.68% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 22.42%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Farnborough Town 1-1 Eastbourne
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-0 Farnborough Town
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-0 Farnborough Town
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 3-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-1 Worthing
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-0 Yeovil
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-1 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 3-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South


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