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National League South | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Woodspring Stadium
H&

Weston
1 - 0
Havant & W'ville

Jackson (1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weston-super-Mare and Havant & Waterlooville.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Weston 0-2 Wrexham
Sunday, November 11 at 12.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-3 Welling United
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 33.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Weston-super-MareDrawHavant & Waterlooville
33.46% (1.137 1.14) 24.47% (-0.064 -0.06) 42.07% (-1.074 -1.07)
Both teams to score 59.04% (0.632 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.27% (0.653 0.65)43.73% (-0.654 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.88% (0.63800000000001 0.64)66.12% (-0.63800000000001 -0.64)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (1 1)25.37% (-1.001 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83% (1.355 1.36)60.17% (-1.355 -1.36)
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.11% (-0.21499999999999 -0.21)20.89% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.4% (-0.339 -0.34)53.6% (0.338 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Weston-super-Mare 33.46%
    Havant & Waterlooville 42.07%
    Draw 24.46%
Weston-super-MareDrawHavant & Waterlooville
2-1 @ 7.81% (0.172 0.17)
1-0 @ 7.27% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 4.99% (0.142 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.57% (0.177 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.122 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.28% (0.127 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.094 0.09)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 33.46%
1-1 @ 11.38% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.095 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.153 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.46%
1-2 @ 8.91% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.296 -0.3)
0-2 @ 6.5% (-0.275 -0.27)
1-3 @ 4.65% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.39% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.03 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 42.07%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Weston 0-2 Wrexham
Sunday, November 11 at 12.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Weston 0-6 Barnsley
Saturday, July 16 at 3pm in Pre-Season Friendlies
Last Game: Weston 1-4 Doncaster
Tuesday, November 18 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-3 Welling United
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 3-4 Havant & W'ville
Thursday, April 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 1-1 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-1 Chippenham
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 1-1 Havant & W'ville
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-2 Weymouth
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South


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