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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hampton & Richmond win with a probability of 38.22%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 37.73% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hampton & Richmond win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.22%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 2-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hampton & Richmond would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Hampton & Richmond |
| 37.73% | 24.04% ( 0.01) | 38.22% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.32% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.93% ( -0.05) | 41.07% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.54% ( -0.05) | 63.46% ( 0.05) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.18% ( -0.02) | 21.82% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.97% ( -0.03) | 55.03% ( 0.03) |
| Hampton & Richmond Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% ( -0.02) | 21.57% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.34% ( -0.04) | 54.66% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Hampton & Richmond |
| 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.45% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.57% Total : 37.73% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 38.22% |
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