SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 19.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Maidstone United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidstone United | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
58% ( 0.04) | 22.73% ( -0.02) | 19.27% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.36% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.4% ( 0.03) | 47.6% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.2% ( 0.02) | 69.81% ( -0.02) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.88% ( 0.02) | 16.12% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.45% ( 0.04) | 45.55% ( -0.04) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.24% ( -0.01) | 38.76% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.5% ( -0.01) | 75.5% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidstone United | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.4% 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.89% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0)5-1 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 57.99% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0)Other @ 1% Total : 22.73% | 0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.81% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 19.27% |
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