Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 60.33%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Hungerford Town win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.