Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
