Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 21.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 1-0 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.