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National League South | Gameweek 15
Jan 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hempstead
3 - 5
Oxford City

Lacey (1'), Sellers (36'), Christie (46')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Martinez (45+1'), Fleet (58'), Bradbury (73', 75'), Bancroft (89')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Oxford City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 1-0 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawOxford City
21.97%23.78%54.24%
Both teams to score 52.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.39%48.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.27%70.73%
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.43%36.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.65%73.35%
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.18%17.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.44%48.55%
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 21.97%
    Oxford City 54.23%
    Draw 23.78%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawOxford City
1-0 @ 6.56%
2-1 @ 5.69%
2-0 @ 3.3%
3-1 @ 1.91%
3-2 @ 1.65%
3-0 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 21.97%
1-1 @ 11.3%
0-0 @ 6.52%
2-2 @ 4.91%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.78%
0-1 @ 11.23%
1-2 @ 9.75%
0-2 @ 9.69%
1-3 @ 5.61%
0-3 @ 5.57%
2-3 @ 2.82%
1-4 @ 2.42%
0-4 @ 2.4%
2-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 54.23%

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