SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slough Town win with a probability of 39.3%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slough Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slough Town | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
39.3% ( -0.01) | 23.43% ( 0.07) | 37.27% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 63.63% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.94% ( -0.39) | 38.05% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.68% ( -0.42) | 60.32% ( 0.42) |
| Slough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.25% ( -0.17) | 19.75% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.22% ( -0.28) | 51.78% ( 0.28) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.29% ( -0.21) | 20.71% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.68% ( -0.33) | 53.31% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slough Town | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 39.3% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 37.27% |
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