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National League South | Gameweek 17
Nov 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City
0 - 4
Dorking


Adam Williams (2'), Appiah (33'), Tamplin (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Carter (3', 19', 70'), Muitt (86')
Craig (8'), Brooking (76')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Dorking Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Albans City 1-1 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dorking 1-1 Maidstone
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 31.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawDorking Wanderers
44.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 31.91% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.72% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.72% (0.012 0.01)41.28% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.32% (0.012 0.01)63.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.08% (0.0019999999999953 0)18.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.59% (0.00099999999999767 0)50.41% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (0.012999999999991 0.01)25.12% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18% (0.016999999999996 0.02)59.82% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 44.26%
    Dorking Wanderers 31.91%
    Draw 23.83%
Chelmsford CityDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 6.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.05%
3-0 @ 3.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.1%
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 44.26%
1-1 @ 10.93%
2-2 @ 6.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.83%
1-2 @ 7.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.56% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 31.91%

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Form Guide
Last Game: St Albans City 1-1 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-1 Salisbury
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 2-2 Chelmsford City
Monday, October 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-2 Farnborough
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Barnet 4-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Dorking 1-1 Maidstone
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 3-4 Dorking
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dorking 2-1 Welling United
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Dorking
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dorking 3-3 Salisbury
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dorking 3-2 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in National League South


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