SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 69.82%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 12.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (3.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Welling United |
69.82% ( -0.12) | 17.97% ( 0.03) | 12.2% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.53% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.77% ( 0.1) | 40.22% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.4% ( 0.1) | 62.59% ( -0.11) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.62% ( -0.01) | 10.38% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.1% ( -0.01) | 33.89% ( 0) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.38% ( 0.22) | 43.62% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.19% ( 0.18) | 79.81% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Welling United |
| 2-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.12% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.87% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.32% Total : 69.81% | 1-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.94% Total : 17.97% | 0-1 @ 3.76% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.28% Total : 12.2% |
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