SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Slough Town had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.78%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest Slough Town win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Slough Town |
40.67% ( 0.07) | 23.42% ( -0) | 35.91% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 63.53% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.88% ( 0.02) | 38.12% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.61% ( 0.02) | 60.39% ( -0.02) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.84% ( 0.04) | 19.16% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.18% ( 0.06) | 50.81% ( -0.06) |
| Slough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.59% ( -0.03) | 21.41% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.59% ( -0.04) | 54.41% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Slough Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.66% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.4% Total : 40.67% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.65% 0-0 @ 4.1% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.91% |
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