SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 46.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 26.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Chippenham Town win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Albans City | Draw | Chippenham Town |
46.33% ( -0.22) | 27.11% ( 0.07) | 26.56% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 47.02% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.36% ( -0.17) | 57.64% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.6% ( -0.14) | 78.4% ( 0.14) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.13% ( -0.18) | 24.87% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.53% ( -0.26) | 59.47% ( 0.26) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.58% ( 0.03) | 37.42% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.8% ( 0.03) | 74.2% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Albans City | Draw | Chippenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.94% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.32% Total : 46.32% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 1.72% Total : 26.56% |
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