National League South | Gameweek 6
Aug 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium
Fagg (22')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stanley (9'),
Isaac (81')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and St Albans City.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.
| Result |
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | St Albans City |
31.8% ( -0.34) | 27.3% ( -0.02) | 40.9% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 49.21% ( -0.05) |
| 43.83% ( -0.02) | 56.17% ( 0.02) |
| 22.77% ( -0.01) | 77.23% ( 0.01) |
| 67.4% ( -0.24) | 32.6% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.86% ( -0.27) | 69.14% ( 0.28) |
| 73.01% ( 0.19) | 26.99% ( -0.19) |
