SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Dartford | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 | St Albans City | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Taunton Town | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Oxford City | 5 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Worthing | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Braintree Town | 6 | 6 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Worthing in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Albans City | Draw | Worthing |
31.46% ( -0.39) | 25.81% ( 0.31) | 42.73% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.72% ( -1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.67% ( -1.47) | 50.33% ( 1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.72% ( -1.32) | 72.27% ( 1.32) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% ( -0.99) | 29.86% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.04% ( -1.21) | 65.95% ( 1.21) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.59% ( -0.6) | 23.41% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.6% ( -0.88) | 57.4% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Albans City | Draw | Worthing |
| 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.38% Total : 31.46% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.41)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.18)1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.01% Total : 42.73% |
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