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National League South | Gameweek 10
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Paddy Power Park

Farnborough Town
1 - 2
St Albans City

Kasimu (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Neal (20' pen.), Lokko (73' og.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and St Albans City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Farnborough Town
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Worthing
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Farnborough Town win was 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.

Result
Farnborough TownDrawSt Albans City
25.48% (-1.497 -1.5) 24.98% (-0.597 -0.6) 49.53% (2.093 2.09)
Both teams to score 52.36% (0.564 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.77% (1.352 1.35)50.23% (-1.354 -1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81% (1.188 1.19)72.18% (-1.19 -1.19)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.7% (-0.501 -0.5)34.3% (0.5 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.99% (-0.541 -0.54)71% (0.53999999999999 0.54)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.7% (1.453 1.45)20.29% (-1.454 -1.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.34% (2.265 2.27)52.66% (-2.265 -2.27)
Score Analysis
    Farnborough Town 25.48%
    St Albans City 49.53%
    Draw 24.97%
Farnborough TownDrawSt Albans City
1-0 @ 7.45% (-0.525 -0.52)
2-1 @ 6.36% (-0.242 -0.24)
2-0 @ 3.99% (-0.339 -0.34)
3-1 @ 2.27% (-0.118 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.142 -0.14)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 25.48%
1-1 @ 11.87% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 11.1% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 9.47% (0.193 0.19)
0-2 @ 8.85% (0.298 0.3)
1-3 @ 5.04% (0.316 0.32)
0-3 @ 4.71% (0.355 0.36)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.134 0.13)
1-4 @ 2.01% (0.208 0.21)
0-4 @ 1.88% (0.217 0.22)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 49.53%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Farnborough Town
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 0-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-0 Farnborough Town
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-1 Bath City
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-2 Farnborough Town
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 1-0 Taunton Town
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Worthing
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-2 St Albans City
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 1-2 St Albans City
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-0 Hungerford
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Oxford City
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League South


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