SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 49.53%. A win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Farnborough Town win was 1-0 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Farnborough Town | Draw | St Albans City |
25.48% ( -1.5) | 24.98% ( -0.6) | 49.53% ( 2.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.36% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.77% ( 1.35) | 50.23% ( -1.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.81% ( 1.19) | 72.18% ( -1.19) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.7% ( -0.5) | 34.3% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.99% ( -0.54) | 71% ( 0.54) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.7% ( 1.45) | 20.29% ( -1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.34% ( 2.27) | 52.66% ( -2.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Farnborough Town | Draw | St Albans City |
| 1-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.52) 2-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 2.27% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.2% Total : 25.48% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.39)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 5.04% ( 0.32)0-3 @ 4.71% ( 0.36)2-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.21)0-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.22)2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.71% Total : 49.53% |
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