Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dartford would win this match.