SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Weymouth had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Weymouth win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Albans City | Draw | Weymouth |
58.18% ( 0.06) | 22.28% ( -0.03) | 19.54% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.26% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.7% ( 0.09) | 45.29% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.37% ( 0.09) | 67.63% ( -0.09) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.73% ( 0.05) | 15.26% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.04% ( 0.1) | 43.96% ( -0.1) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.86% ( 0.02) | 37.14% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.07% ( 0.02) | 73.92% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Albans City | Draw | Weymouth |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 58.17% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.28% | 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.65% Total : 19.54% |
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