SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | St Albans City |
51.96% ( -1.43) | 23.81% ( 0.23) | 24.22% ( 1.2) |
| Both teams to score 54.78% ( 0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.57% ( 0.22) | 46.42% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.29% ( 0.2) | 68.71% ( -0.2) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.14% ( -0.45) | 17.86% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.37% ( -0.79) | 48.63% ( 0.79) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.69% ( 1.18) | 33.31% ( -1.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.07% ( 1.28) | 69.93% ( -1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | St Albans City |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.58% Total : 51.95% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.81% | 0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.36% Total : 24.22% |
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