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National League South | Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium

Weymouth
0 - 1
Farnborough Town

 
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ball (45+1')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weymouth and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Slough 2-3 Weymouth
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Farnborough Town in this match.

Result
WeymouthDrawFarnborough Town
29.84% (-3.083 -3.08) 25.1% (-0.067 -0.07) 45.06% (3.152 3.15)
Both teams to score 55.24% (-1.17 -1.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.01% (-0.904 -0.9)47.99% (0.907 0.91)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.84% (-0.836 -0.84)70.16% (0.84 0.84)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.21% (-2.483 -2.48)29.79% (2.487 2.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.13% (-3.116 -3.12)65.87% (3.12 3.12)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.68% (1.08 1.08)21.32% (-1.078 -1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.73% (1.644 1.64)54.27% (-1.641 -1.64)
Score Analysis
    Weymouth 29.84%
    Farnborough Town 45.06%
    Draw 25.1%
WeymouthDrawFarnborough Town
1-0 @ 7.69% (-0.248 -0.25)
2-1 @ 7.2% (-0.512 -0.51)
2-0 @ 4.66% (-0.496 -0.5)
3-1 @ 2.91% (-0.431 -0.43)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.251 -0.25)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.35 -0.35)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 29.84%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.35% (0.236 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.206 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 9.82% (0.666 0.67)
1-2 @ 9.19% (0.301 0.3)
0-2 @ 7.59% (0.74 0.74)
1-3 @ 4.73% (0.301 0.3)
0-3 @ 3.91% (0.494 0.49)
2-3 @ 2.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.83% (0.171 0.17)
0-4 @ 1.51% (0.233 0.23)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 45.06%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Slough 2-3 Weymouth
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 5-1 Weymouth
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 0-2 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 0-2 Dover Athletic
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-1 Weymouth
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 0-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 1-2 Farnborough Town
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-1 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 1-2 St Albans City
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Farnborough Town
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 0-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South


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