It is hard to see anything other than AFC Wimbledon storming to victory here, considering Weymouth's form and the gap between the sides in the English football pyramid.
Weymouth will be eager to cause an early FA Cup upset, but we struggle to see them having much joy against Jackson's side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.04) 
