Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 52.4%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 24.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
