SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Chesham United had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Chesham United win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tonbridge Angels in this match.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Chesham United |
45.55% ( -2.36) | 26.43% ( 0.48) | 28.02% ( 1.89) |
| Both teams to score 49.96% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.67% ( -0.7) | 54.33% ( 0.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.29% ( -0.59) | 75.71% ( 0.59) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.21% ( -1.4) | 23.79% ( 1.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.05% ( -2.05) | 57.94% ( 2.05) |
| Chesham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.56% ( 1.16) | 34.44% ( -1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.85% ( 1.22) | 71.15% ( -1.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Chesham United |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.48)3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.41)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.68% Total : 45.55% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.43% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.5) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.19)Other @ 2.22% Total : 28.02% |
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