SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 49.23%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
49.23% ( -0.02) | 24.38% ( 0.01) | 26.4% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.12% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53% ( -0.04) | 47% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.76% ( -0.04) | 69.24% ( 0.04) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.85% ( -0.03) | 19.15% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.21% ( -0.04) | 50.79% ( 0.04) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.17% ( -0.01) | 31.83% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.73% ( -0.02) | 68.27% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.33% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.59% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.22% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 26.4% |
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