SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.82%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Worthing win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesham United | Draw | Worthing |
42.58% ( 0.08) | 23.22% ( -0.08) | 34.19% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.85% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.45% ( 0.42) | 37.55% ( -0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.22% ( 0.45) | 59.78% ( -0.45) |
| Chesham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.9% ( 0.21) | 18.1% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.96% ( 0.35) | 49.04% ( -0.34) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% ( 0.2) | 22.04% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.62% ( 0.3) | 55.38% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesham United | Draw | Worthing |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.79% Total : 42.58% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.46% Total : 34.19% |
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