SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Slough Town had a probability of 37.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Slough Town win was 1-2 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Truro City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Truro City | Draw | Slough Town |
38.42% ( 0.89) | 24.19% ( 0.47) | 37.38% ( -1.35) |
| Both teams to score 60.75% ( -1.77) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.2% ( -2.29) | 41.8% ( 2.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.79% ( -2.34) | 64.21% ( 2.35) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.2% ( -0.57) | 21.8% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45% ( -0.88) | 55% ( 0.88) |
| Slough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.68% ( -1.68) | 22.32% ( 1.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.21% ( -2.58) | 55.79% ( 2.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Truro City | Draw | Slough Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.62)2-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.38)3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.42% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.2)0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.48)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.38)0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.17% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.27)0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.19)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.43% Total : 37.38% |
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