SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Truro City win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Truro City |
48.46% ( 0.04) | 24.29% ( -0.01) | 27.24% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.11% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.98% ( 0.01) | 46.02% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.67% ( 0.01) | 68.32% ( -0.01) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.92% ( 0.02) | 19.07% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.32% ( 0.04) | 50.67% ( -0.04) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.33% ( -0.02) | 30.66% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.09% ( -0.02) | 66.91% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Truro City |
| 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.17% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 3.19% Total : 48.46% | 1-1 @ 11.45% 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 27.25% |
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