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National League South | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Treyew Road

Truro City
5 - 2
Welling United

Neal (5'), Palmer (18'), Porter (20', 39'), Harvey (45+2')
FT(HT: 5-1)
Green (28'), Papadopoulos (87' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Truro City and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 3-1 Truro City
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-3 Welling United
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Truro City would win this match.

Result
Truro CityDrawWelling United
59.84% (0.332 0.33) 22.48% (-0.152 -0.15) 17.67% (-0.179 -0.18)
Both teams to score 49.31% (0.133 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.11% (0.353 0.35)48.88% (-0.353 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.02% (0.32 0.32)70.98% (-0.32000000000001 -0.32)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.05% (0.232 0.23)15.94% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.78% (0.428 0.43)45.21% (-0.427 -0.43)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)41.34% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.14% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)77.86% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Truro City 59.84%
    Welling United 17.67%
    Draw 22.48%
Truro CityDrawWelling United
1-0 @ 12.1% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 11.11% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.8% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.01% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.12% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 59.84%
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 22.48%
0-1 @ 5.82% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-2 @ 4.72% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.57% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 17.67%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Charlton 3-1 Truro City
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-3 Welling United
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 3-0 Hampton
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 3-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 3-0 Welling United
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Eastbourne
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-0 Welling United
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South


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