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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hampton & Richmond win with a probability of 38.28%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 36.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hampton & Richmond win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.05%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Welling United win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Hampton & Richmond |
36.96% ( -2.29) | 24.76% ( -0.64) | 38.28% ( 2.93) |
| Both teams to score 58.62% ( 2.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.45% ( 3.06) | 44.55% ( -3.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.09% ( 2.89) | 66.91% ( -2.89) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% ( 0.17) | 23.78% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.06% ( 0.24) | 57.93% ( -0.25) |
| Hampton & Richmond Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.91% ( 3.01) | 23.09% ( -3.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.07% ( 4.22) | 56.93% ( -4.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Welling United | Draw | Hampton & Richmond |
| 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( -1.05)2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.72)3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.17)3-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.33)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.06% Total : 36.96% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.33)0-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.76)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.76% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.41) 0-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.35)0-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.53)2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.39)0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.36)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.31)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.22)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.21)Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.28% |
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