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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 56.23%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 20.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.86%) and 0-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-0 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Welling United | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
20.75% ( 0.23) | 23.02% ( -0.01) | 56.23% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 52.81% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.15% ( 0.34) | 46.85% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.89% ( 0.32) | 69.1% ( -0.33) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.22% ( 0.43) | 36.78% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.43% ( 0.43) | 73.57% ( -0.43) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.53% ( 0.04) | 16.47% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.83% ( 0.08) | 46.17% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Welling United | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 1-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.72% Total : 20.75% | 1-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.01% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.85% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 5.93% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.92% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.67% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 56.22% |
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