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National League South | Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
Clarence Park

St Albans City
3 - 0
Welling United

McConnell (7', 65'), Weiss (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between St Albans City and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-2 St Albans City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Eastbourne
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 19.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.

Result
St Albans CityDrawWelling United
58.47% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 22.37% (0.0020000000000024 0) 19.16% (0.040000000000003 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.33% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.78% (0.049000000000007 0.05)46.23% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48% (0.043000000000003 0.04)68.52% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)15.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)44.38% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.92% (0.07 0.07)38.09% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.15% (0.065999999999999 0.07)74.85% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    St Albans City 58.46%
    Welling United 19.16%
    Draw 22.37%
St Albans CityDrawWelling United
1-0 @ 11% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 10.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.39% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 58.46%
1-1 @ 10.62%
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.78% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.37%
0-1 @ 5.7%
1-2 @ 5.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.65% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 19.16%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-2 St Albans City
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-2 Braintree
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 1-1 St Albans City
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-0 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-1 Cheshunt
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Eastbourne
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-0 Welling United
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 3-2 Welling United
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Bath City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Taunton Town
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 2-1 Welling United
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South


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