Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Welling United win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Welling United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.