Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 52.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chippenham Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Chippenham Town | Draw | Welling United |
52.31% ( 0.15) | 24.73% ( -0.06) | 22.95% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 50.45% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.55% ( 0.13) | 51.44% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.74% ( 0.11) | 73.25% ( -0.11) |
Chippenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.36% ( 0.11) | 19.64% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.39% ( 0.18) | 51.61% ( -0.18) |
Welling United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.78% ( -0.02) | 37.22% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.99% ( -0.02) | 74.01% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Chippenham Town | Draw | Welling United |
1-0 @ 11.89% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 52.31% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.72% | 0-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 22.95% |
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