Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 68.91%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 12.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-0 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.