Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 64.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 15.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Welling United win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
Welling United	Draw	Worthing
15.42% ( 0.16)	19.68% ( 0.17)	64.9% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 53.63% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.32% (

-0.48)

40.68% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.94% (

-0.49)

63.06% (

0.49)

Welling United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.8% (

-0.09)

39.2% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.09% (

-0.08)

75.91% (

0.08)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.21% (

-0.23)

11.79% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63% (

-0.49)

37% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Welling United 15.43%

Worthing 64.89%

Draw 19.68%

Welling United	Draw	Worthing
2-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 15.43%	1-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.68%	0-2 @ 10.56% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 7.53% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 7.05% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 4.02% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 3.77% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.61% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.8% Total : 64.89%