Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 71.98%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 11.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-3 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Welling United win it was 2-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.