Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concord Rangers win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Concord Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Concord Rangers in this match.
