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National League South | Gameweek 19
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Woodspring Stadium

Weston
2 - 1
Chippenham

Willmott (45+3'), Reid (90' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Owen-Evans (20')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weston-super-Mare and Chippenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Weston 0-1 Braintree
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Chippenham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Weston-super-Mare in this match.

Result
Weston-super-MareDrawChippenham Town
46.53% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 24.44% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06) 29.03% (0.123 0.12)
Both teams to score 56.95% (0.294 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.48% (0.348 0.35)45.52% (-0.347 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.15% (0.331 0.33)67.85% (-0.33 -0.33)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33% (0.116 0.12)19.67% (-0.115 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.35% (0.187 0.19)51.65% (-0.187 -0.19)
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.89% (0.26300000000001 0.26)29.11% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.97% (0.323 0.32)65.03% (-0.322 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Weston-super-Mare 46.53%
    Chippenham Town 29.03%
    Draw 24.43%
Weston-super-MareDrawChippenham Town
2-1 @ 9.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.31% (-0.105 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.1% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.13% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.27% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 46.53%
1-1 @ 11.48% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.43%
1-2 @ 7.09% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.07% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.79% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 29.03%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Weston 0-1 Braintree
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-3 Weston
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 4-0 Taunton Town
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 0-3 Farnborough
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 1-0 Weston
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 3-1 Weston
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-1 Chippenham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 0-0 Truro City
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 4-1 Welling United
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-2 Chippenham
Wednesday, March 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 3-1 Worthing
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 1-3 Chippenham
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South


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